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“Prediction markets represent a meaningful second channel for NFL wagering but still small on a relative scale, reflecting a new sector with less of an installed base,” observes EKG.

It’s widely believed that all-or-nothing exchanges are carving out significant niches in states, such as California and Texas, where sports betting is prohibited, but there’s also emerging consensus that the prediction market threat to sportsbooks is easing.

A major advantage for traditional sportsbook operators is their ability to aggressively fund customer acquisition and retention bonuses. As EKG points out, prediction markets have “less ability to be generous with bonuses” because users trade against one another rather than against the house.

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During his media availability Friday, Kubiak repeatedly stressed that the NFL season consists of “17 desperate games in a row.”

“We have this one game in front of our face, and we’re focused on that,” Kubiak said.

When asked about the Chargers—one of several teams, alongside the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos, seeking to bounce back from a Week 1 upset to avoid an 0-2 start—Kubiak brushed off the narrative during his brief news conference.

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News of The Chop comes directly on the heels of HBO’s announcement that it is developing a drama series set in the actual advantage play space.

Starring and executive-produced by Riley Keough (granddaughter of Elvis Presley), Advantage Player is adapted from Gina Fiore’s memoir detailing her 20-plus years as a high-stakes card counter and hole-carder.

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